Tag Archives: Ohio

College Football Idiot Savant Playoff Week 1

While championship week left a little to be desired from Buckeye fans everywhere, they only dropped one spot in the playoff. Liveforthepage went 2-1 despite the letdown, as we look forward to the first round of the playoff.

Prediction 1: Most Americans wouldn’t live in Alabama if given the choice, but those who do live for their college football. #9 Alabama (-1.5) takes another trip to Norman playoff style to see #8 Oklahoma in a rematch of the regular season contest won narrowly by Oklahoma. They say a wounded dog hunts, three loss Alabama is wounded and I wouldn’t wanna be animal control this weekend. This goes double when considering that Oklahoma gave them a loss last year as well. Three wins against Alabama by anybody would be an anomaly, and with the spread this close, Alabama covers sooner than later.

Prediction 2: In what may be the best watch of the weekend, #10 Miami travels to meet #7 Texas A&M (-3) in Saturday’s noon game. The last two matchups between these two sides split evenly, and it should stay close, but I don’t think that’s the college football story here. The story is that in your second big year of the 12 team playoff, with all the money and media attention, playoff week one will be in the books by 3:30 Saturday afternoon. I say that because the remaining two games will be snooze-fests relegated to TNT/HBO Max that few will watch or care about. If this is the premium product of the college football year, how do the remaining two games have spreads of -17.5 and -21 respectively where you also limit the viewership to cable? Texas A&M covers, then you’ll need to cover the rest of the Saturday in ranch dressing watching something else.

Prediction 3: In that vein, #12 James Madison takes its freshly minted FBS program up to Eugene to face #5 Oregon (-21). Not only is this one of the toughest places in the country to play, but I don’t think Oregon will need to lean into crowd noise after the first 4 possessions when this is a 14-0 chase for a cover. Respect to James Madison for getting here, I don’t have any material about them yet, but give it one more playoff run and I’ll have jokes. Mostly I just hate this matchup for the fans and my entertainment prospects on Saturday, Oregon covers and it might get ugly.

Shout out to the alma mater for finishing strong and landing a spot in the Boca Raton Bowl, Toledo students need as much sun as they can get this time of year. I’ll be monitoring the score from my cubicle on Tuesday, and Louisville should be a fun matchup. However, the only reason to ever find oneself in Kentucky is for the subsidized cigarettes, and Rocket senior Tucker Gleason is gonna be smokin’ defensive backs all day. Hope you enjoy the games and the holiday everyone, always remember to abide.

Summary:

#9 Alabama covers -1.5

#7 Texas A&M covers -3

#5 Oregon covers -21

Record: 32-16-2

College Football Idiot Savant Championship Week

Honorable vindication, humility in evisceration, if you want me to get really hyperbolic, compassionate anti-colonialism. They guarded the M, but who wants to plant a flag on a piece of land nobody wants in Ann Arbor? An audible O-H-I-O chant going around The Big House at the end of the broadcast should instill far more embarrassment than any flag ever could. Those were season ticket holders that sold their seats. Ryan Day deserves all praise for this undefeated regular season, as the Buckeyes move on to the next one. For all you northern counters, it’s been over 365 days since Michigan scored a touchdown against Ohio State.

Prediction 1: Our first championship matchup comes to us from Arlington, but #4 Texas Tech (-12.5) will not need to rely on any in-state advantage to come out on top in this one. The honor coders from #11 BYU should be proud of an 11-1 season, but I don’t see a future. They should try to catch a glimpse of any Cowboy cheerleaders that might be in the building. They can think about how much they would love to disappoint those beautiful women too. Tech covers.

Prediction 2: Let me start by saying what I hope this game isn’t: a nail biter that gives the committee sway to let a three loss #9 Alabama team into the playoff. A lot of players will be drafted from both of these teams, but I think #3 Georgia (-2.5) has put together a more impressive season. I also trust the coaching of Kirby Smart more to take his alma mater to a top four spot. Dawgs cover.

Prediction 3: As a proud graduate of an Ohio public institution, this one is a no brainer. Some without prior knowledge would say this is an Indiana home game with it being in Indianapolis, not so. Ask the folks in Ann Arbor who saw the chant in action last week if Buckeye nation will fill Lucas Oil Stadium on Saturday night. Countless fans will brave the Fallout-adjacent wasteland that is the Indiana leg of I-70 to Indy to see #1 Ohio State (-4.5) cover #2 Indiana in style, by a touchdown.

It’s been a great regular season here at liveforthepage, and we appreciate everyone who takes the time to read this drivel every week. This week’s Big Ten Championship is a point-of-pride game, both teams will be in the playoff, but only one will have drivable roads when it’s over. Respect to Indiana for what they’ve built, but if you think I’m going to give anything more than that to a citizenry who thought Mike Pence was a good idea, dead wrong. It’s going to be a sea of red at Lucas Oil on Saturday, and 70% of them are going to be from out of state. Buckeye faithful, it may be a good idea to check if your AAA roadside assistance dues are current, O-H!

Summary:

#4 Texas Tech covers -12.5

#3 Georgia covers -2.5

#1 Ohio State covers -4.5

Record: 30-15-2

The Last Week In November

This week liveforthepage features a guest segment from contributor and resident Buckeye expert Zach. There is no more reliable source for Buckeye knowledge that isn’t behind a paywall, or FERPA regulations. Without further adieu, enjoy.

You can ask those few who know me, or the even fewer who love me, and they’ll tell you, Zach Crist is an impatient fellow. There are very few things in life that I willingly wait for. At the very top of that list is the last weekend of November, every single year. When the cool fall air rolls in, when auburn, burnt yellow, orange and brown settle into the trees, and when that beauty meets the eternal clash of scarlet and grey vs. piss, I mean, “maize” and blue, everything inside me lights up.

This year is no exception. In fact, the stakes feel higher.

But it’s been 362 days since Ohio State put on one of the worst on-field performances I’ve seen since Maroon 5 played the Super Bowl halftime show in 2019.

The Loss That Broke Something, and Built Something Else

People wanted Ryan Day gone after that loss. Not me, of course, I’m very reasonable. (Just don’t check my Facebook posts from last year.) But that loss did something to him. It changed him. It created a monster. His wife even said, “He became maniacle. It was every second of every day. Even in the middle of the night he was typing notes.”

And I imagine those notes looked like Bart Simpson’s chalkboard:
I will not lose to those clowns to the North ever again.
I will not lose to those clowns to the North ever again.
I will not lose to those clowns to the North ever again.

Numbers Matter, In The Game and in Christmas Songs. What do The 12 Days of Christmas and The Game have in common?

Numbers.
So here are mine: Offensive Stats

  • 111th in total plays (695)
  • 19th in first downs
  • 12th in yards per play (6.97)
  • 37% of plays result in a first down

326 plays have resulted in a first down or a score. That means 47% of all plays result in either points or a chain-mover. Nearly one out of every two plays, you can confidently say, “First down” or, “Yep I saw that coming.” Especially when Sayin lets it fly to Smith or Tate for six. This doesn’t even include Sayin’s absurd efficiency numbers as he trends toward the most accurate quarterback season of all time. I mean, he couldn’t be more accurate if he called a timeout and personally walked the damn ball over to the receiver. Not to mention:

  • Dead last in punts, only 20 in 11 games
  • 124th in 4th down attempts, but 15th in conversion %
  • Dead last in 3rd down attempts, yet 2nd in 3rd down conversions

Not flashy.
Not wild.
Just brutally efficient.

Ohio State Defense:

  • 1st in scoring defense
  • 5th in rushing defense
  • 2nd in passing defense

Which makes us 1st in total defense, giving up under 8 points per game. But How Does TTUN Stand a Chance? Bryce Underwood, with only 4 more TDs than INTs, has to lead an offense to score more than 8 points, which they’ve rarely done. Against even mediocre competition, they average under 30 PPG
(54th nationally). They have to either be uncharacteristically good on Saturday, or we have to be uncharacteristically bad in my opinion for this to be close. 

The Caveat: Since 2000, the team that rushed for more yards in The Game is 22‑1. But we don’t have to impose our will on the ground first. Start with the pass, draw the linebackers into the secondary, and then let Bo Jackson break free.

Justin Asked for One Paragraph, He Was Never Going to Get Just One. Not this week. Not for this game. I can’t just hand over a score prediction like it’s nothing, because this isn’t nothing. This is The Game.

The Two Paths:

Scenario 1

Ohio State jumps ahead early, offense too hot to handle, defense suffocates TTUN. Ohio State might win this one by 30, so give me the good guys to cover.

Scenario 2

Day wants to prove toughness again, we play their style, it stays tight into the 4th.
And if you let a loser hang around too long, he starts believing he has a chance, which is the last thing you want with the Mr. Brightside choir in Ann Arbor. If this happens, OSU either wins but doesn’t cover or loses and someone will need to bring me enough alcohol to drown in cuz I can’t do 5 in a row. 

A Final Plea to Coach Day

Ryan, since I know you read this every week: If we go up 14, start going for 2 every single time. This isn’t about sportsmanship. This isn’t about class.

WE HATE THESE PEOPLE.

Micheal Jordan once saidLet’s see if all that trash-talking starts when it’s 0-0 instead of a 5-6-point lead. That’s where it starts. That’s the sign of a good man, if he can talk shit when it’s an even score or talk shit when you’re behind. When you’re ahead, it’s easy to talk.” So start talking now Ryan. Put your boot on their throat and give them the Grambling State treatment. No mercy, Less remorse.
In 2020 you swore you’d hang 100 on them, you haven’t scored 100 on them combined in the last four years.

End Sherrone Moore’s career.
Show them who was really born on third.
Record their tears with the same camcorders they used to steal signs.

(Thank you Zach, never change.)

College Football Idiot Savant Week 13

It serves me right for betting against Ohio State and for Alabama in the same week, that’s a karmic disaster. I repent, I repent, I will blaspheme no more this season. The Buckeyes ability to dominate the lesser teams on their schedule this year hasn’t gone unnoticed. Last year I was at a wedding where the uncertainty of the Nebraska game delayed the start of ceremonies. It’s that kind of fandom that should be remembered when people bemoan Buckeye fans, as if to say, “What good is forever love if we lose to the Cornhuskers for Christ’s sake?” Barring injury, there simply is no more picking against them this year.

Prediction 1: From the ashes of the PAC 12 comes the classic west coast matchup of arguably the Big Ten’s best dressed. #15 USC descends upon Autzen Stadium to take on #7 Oregon (-9.5), it’s too bad this isn’t a night game to showcase whatever strip Oregon goes with. Playoff hopes are on the line for both teams here but I don’t believe in USC’s defense as much as I do believe in Oregon’s home field advantage. Take Oregon to cover, but I think it might be a nail biting win by 10.

Prediction 2: As Rutgers visits Columbus this weekend to take on #1 Ohio State (-31.5), I hope the get their sightseeing in. I hope they check out Easton, North Market or Bridge Park, really anything to make the most of their trip over here. That is to say there will be little evidence that they played a football game, other than their own bruises. It’s a leave no doubt week, a telegraph score that once it’s over the wire, the real season begins. Buckeyes cover.

Prediction 3: If you would have told me at the beginning of the season that I would be making this many Missouri football predictions, I may have reconsidered the series. #22 Missouri heads to Norman where #8 Oklahoma (-7.5) looks to solidify its playoff position and I’m afraid they may not need to circle the wagons to win this one. The cover on the other hand will be trickier, but doable, I see this as a ten point game between disparate programs as Oklahoma rolls to a cover.

Expect my Toledo Rockets to take care of business against Ball State, but I’m not touching a 27.5 point spread with the midnight blue and gold anymore this season. One can start to feel the foreshadowing of next week on campus already, and it doesn’t feel heavy to me. I’m not about to start making bold statements or exaggerated claims, just the quiet confidence of knowing what this Buckeye team is capable of. Think twice about your order of Detroit style pizza over the next 8 days, you don’t need it that bad.

Summary:

Oregon to cover -9.5

Ohio State to cover -31.5

Oklahoma to cover -7.5

Record: 26-15-2

College Football Idiot Savant Week 11

Win, loss and push was not what I was hoping for with last week’s picks, but that’s gambling. Credit to Vandy for keeping in close enough for the push against a traditional powerhouse, and props to the Buckeyes for leaving no doubt against Penn State. I saw there were rumblings about making certain prop bets illegal, which makes sense considering the rampant opportunities for abuse, so get your silly ones in while you can.

Prediction 1: The long distance dedication pick of the week comes from all the honor code followers at #7 Brigham Young University. They would like this one to go out to all their unloved girlfriends who, in their hearts, wish they were dating men from #8 Texas Tech (-10). The Cougars are getting ten points as a top ten team, and this could turn into a blowout, but I’m going Casey Kasem on this one: BYU and the points.

Prediction 2: I never expected Missouri to come up in the picks this frequently when we started the season, but I’ve got one reference left. #3 Texas A&M (-6.5) will visit #22 Missouri on Saturday and they will cover nonchalant style. The real best thing to ever come out of Missouri is the 2010 coming of age drama, Winter’s Bone featuring our introduction to Jennifer Lawrence. Aggies cover.

Prediction 3: As the radio advertising in Columbus reiterates this week, Drew Brees no longer plays for Purdue, so there isn’t much to worry about this week. However, #1 Ohio State (-29.5) with nearly a thirty point spread is a little rich for my blood. I think the Buckeyes will systematically dismantle Purdue, but in their interest of preserving bodies and sportsmanship, it may not get to thirty. That’s not to say you won’t see some showmanship and skill in big plays, everybody should eat on Saturday, but take Purdue and the points.

Shout out to the Toledo Rockets getting back on track with a 42-3 win over Northern Illinois in some Wednesday Maction. The Rockets may not win the conference this year, but they always make me proud. Well, except for the various point shaving scandals throughout the years, but I digress. Enjoy the matchups this weekend, don’t get baited into picking an Iowa upset in Autzen, it ain’t happenin’. Get yourself some Black Dog Pizzeria this weekend to change things up, fantastic specialty pizza.

Summary:

BYU and the points +10

Texas A&M to cover -6.5

Purdue and the points +29.5

Record: 23-12-2

College Football Idiot Savant Week 9

Well I guess I should know better than to make a bet against the scarlet and gray, but 3-1 on the picks was a nice recovery. It’s nice to see teams like Notre Dame and Georgia barely cover to know there is more parity in the sport with NIL, and Toledo cover comfortably in bounce back fashion. The Buckeyes are resting this week but we have a bevy of ranked matchups to mull over. Remember, if you must bet more, put it on the team playing Michigan and forget parlays.

Prediction 1: Circle the wagons Sooners, this is an SEC game you joined the conference for. #8 Ole Miss travels to Norman to take on #14 Oklahoma (-5.5) in the new SEC. While the Sooners will enjoy the home field advantage, I see these teams as more evenly matched, and I really want another Lane Kiffin sound bite to remember from the post game presser. Take Ole Miss and the points.

Prediction 2: I recently asked #15 Missouri to, “Show Me” something as their state nickname implies, and they failed. This week they visit #10 Vanderbilt (-2.5) and I don’t have any more confidence that something great is going to come out of Missouri. Vanderbilt is the far better storyline this year, and with this basically being a pick-em game, I’m going with the academic school that’s giving up points. Vandy to cover.

Prediction 3: In our deep fried, big bucket, double bypass game of the week, the Aggies of #3 Texas A&M (-2.5) head down to Baton Rouge to take on #20 LSU. The thing you have to ask yourself with this matchup is this: Do I take a better team on the road to knock Brian Kelly out of the rankings for the price of less than a field goal? The answer is yes, allow the viewing of Kelly’s anguish to make your Saturday night more enjoyable. Texas A&M to cover.

In all that SEC talk, I didn’t forget about those in midnight blue who hail from fair Toledo. They go across the country to face a Washington State (-1.5) team that isn’t ready for Tucker Gleason. He threw four touchdowns and no interceptions last week in a rout, and it would be foolish to think he can’t engineer another victory. Here in Columbus Tommy’s remains the tailgate option of choice, stay classy and get your mind right for next week.

Summary:

Ole Miss and the points +5.5

Vanderbilt to cover -2.5

Texas A&M to cover -2.5

Toledo and the points +1.5

Record: 19-10-1

College Football Idiot Savant Week 6

Well Husky Stadium was no match for the Buckeyes, and they should have played Bachman Turner Overdrive’s, “Takin’ Care of Business” on QFM afterward. Penn State still can’t win a big one, and I’m beginning to think the whiteout is just to pump up t-shirt sales. Let’s get ready for another exciting week, and make some Ben Franklins (Always remember to gamble responsibly).

Prediction 1: The deep fried, big bucket game of the week sees #16 Vanderbilt travel to Tuscaloosa to bring an offering of grits and brain cells to a city bereft of one of those things. #10 Alabama (-10.5) looks to avenge one of the worst defeats in their history from last season against the Commodores. Frankly if they can’t cover against Vanderbilt, you don’t need to bet on them the rest of the season. It took Michigan 7 years to schedule Appalachian State after that debacle, but then they beat them 52-14. Alabama covers, hopes Neil Young will remember.

Prediction 2: If you asked Buckeye fans what they wanted most at the beginning of the season, it probably would have been to beat Michigan. Close on the list however would have been a big night game at the shoe. Instead, #1 Ohio State (-23.5) gets Minnesota at the 7:30 PM time slot, with a spread that’s not attractive to me. However, Minnesota struggled with Rutgers last weekend, Ohio State has Jeremiah Smith, as well as a host of offensive players that can allow you to cover on a lit up national broadcast.

Prediction 3: There is only one title contender playing in the state of Florida this week, and that is #3 Miami (-4.5) who is traveling to #18 Florida State. This matchup always makes me remember an animated Lee Corso on College Gameday shouting, “Wide right!” Of course a reference to the three heartbreaking wide right misses of Florida State kickers against Miami. The best part about this game for Florida State fans will be the pregame traditions, Miami covers.

This week sees the Rockets resting after an impressive cover against Akron I should have pulled the trigger on. With next weekend being The Battle of I-75 in third world Wood County, they should be prepared for the task at hand. I don’t want to be overly sensational, but if Vanderbilt wins, expect a themed week for the picks next time. The college football playoff doesn’t need Alabama around anyhow.

Summary:

Alabama covers -10.5

Ohio State covers -23.5

Miami covers -4.5

Record: 12-7

College Football Idiot Savant Week 5

It’s only been four weeks of college football, but I feel like we have all had some great entertainment so far. Liveforthepage locked in a 3-1 week against the spread last weekend, special thanks to Oklahoma’s defense for that late safety. The Rockets had a let down they can learn from and despite only four weeks passing, Dabo has fallen for the third time. In traditional mythology, it’s usually not until ninth station that the third fall takes place, so it’s been a banner year already.

Prediction 1: They say, “don’t bury the lead” so this week I won’t. The #6 Oregon Ducks fly into Happy Valley this week to take on #3 Penn State (-3.5) in the new age Big Ten. I recently drove through Erie, Pennsylvania and I have to say that it’s a bit misleading. I know it’s not October yet, but the eerie part of Pennsylvania is the white out game in State College. That being said, three and a half points is a low number for a home team in this kind of environment. The Ducks score and soar over the Nittany Lions, take the points.

Prediction 2: The second big matchup of the week comes to us from the deep, deep fried south, as #17 Alabama visits #5 Georgia (-3). SEC country is going to be out in force for this one, probably with pre-game trash talk involving the opposing fans’ sisters. We do that in the north too, but in the opposite direction, we aren’t shit talking about how hot our sisters are. As for the clash on the field, look for a slim cover by Georgia and a good watch with a lot of NFL bodies on both sidelines.

Prediction 3: With the students having completed the bye week bar crawl last weekend, they are ready for a fresh Ohio State (-8.5) team to take on Washington out west. It has been bet down to eight and a half from a nearly two touchdown line when it came out, and I see value here. I like the Buckeyes to open the Big Ten schedule in convincing fashion, make yourself a delicious Washington apple and enjoy the cover.

There is a great slate of 3:30 games to check out as conference play begins in the Big Ten, but nothing else that I want to put a nickel on. #11 Indiana (-8.5) and Iowa get together to compare corn, and that should be closer than the spread. #4 LSU plays the road dog role against #13 Ole Miss (-1.5) in the, ‘hope for a meteor’ game of the week, seriously could Brian Kelly be more unlikable? No Rockets (-21) bet this week either as they pick up the pieces against Akron, and that’s too big of a line. Tommy’s Pizza remains Columbus’ best bet for game day grub, 161 opens at eleven, Lane Ave at noon.

Summary

Oregon and the points +3.5

Georgia covers -3

Ohio State covers -8.5

Record 10-6

College Football Idiot Savant Week 4

Leave it to those golden domers to make my week once again, and look at them still being ranked despite the lack of a win. Nothing changes. (The last time this feat was achieved was Michigan going 0-2 and being ranked in 1988) Liveforthepage went a lackluster 2-3 with the picks, but you can’t call it a losing week when Clemson and Notre Dame both fell for the second time.

Prediction 1: Having driven through the state of Indiana more times than I ever thought I would, I came to a justifiable conclusion. On one of those trips I told myself I would never bet on anything that would come out of the state, but I digress. #19 Indiana (-4.5) hosts #9 Illinois in Bloomington, and although I haven’t confirmed if it will be a whiteout for the late kickoff, it will be. There should be more pairs of New Balance shoes to see Indiana cover than your local Foot Locker distribution center.

Prediction 2: It was suggested online this week and referenced in my golf group that there is an opportunity for a new trophy in the Big Ten. The Trojan Horse Trophy needs to be immediately implemented for the matchup between #25 USC (-18.5) and Michigan State. In Greek mythological fashion, I see the Spartans taking this one with the points. USC’s traditional lack of a defense should allow a rolling MSU to stay within the spread by garbage time even if the result has been decided.

Prediction 3: I played a lot of the old PC game, The Oregon Trail as a kid, maybe that explains my leaning towards the wagon train in #11 Oklahoma (-6.5) this week. Maybe it’s because I can’t remember #22 Auburn doing anything since Cam Newton played quarterback for them. Maybe it’s because OU are competitive in a real conference now, but I’m in for a cover. Oh now I remember, “Surrey With the Fringe on Top” was one of our high school choir songs. Honey here’s the way I it’s going to be: Oklahoma by at least 7.

The Buckeyes will enjoy their rest, but that doesn’t mean you can’t root against that state up north this week. The Toledo Rockets (-14) will travel to take on Western Michigan in their march toward the October 11th matchup at the Wood County Wastewater Facility. The Rockets should cover without too much hassle, thanks to gunslinger Tucker Gleason. The senior computer science and engineering major has one sleeve for ink, one sleeve for throwing touchdown passes. If anyone in Columbus decries the colors, it’s midnight blue and gold, none of that maze shit. Tommy’s Pizza remains the best bet for Saturday provisions, the Dublin location opens at 11.

Summary:

Indiana covers -4.5

Michigan State and the points +18.5

Oklahoma covers -6.5

Toledo covers -14

Record: 7-5

College Football Idiot Savant Week 3

With week two in the books we saw blowout victories for the Buckeyes and Rockets, in addition to Oklahoma taking care of business against Michigan. I hope that you got to enjoy some Tommy’s pizza for that non-starter in Columbus, it was the best Saturday Costco experience I’ve had in a while. There’s no time to celebrate a three for three prediction week because there are a slew of new matchups to ponder.

Prediction 1: The Bulldogs from #6 Georgia(-3.5) go into Knoxville for an SEC battle that’s sure to get a lot of eyeballs. #15 Tennessee comes to the table as an underdog at home, which reminds me of that terrible pickup line, “Are you from Tennessee? ‘Cause you’re the only ten I see.” The only ten I see is the point differential at the end of this game, Georgia should cover like the juggernaut they are.

Prediction 2: Some may call this a troll pick, but let’s be honest, coach Freeman is gonna have the domers ready to bounce back. I did a decade of the rosary this week in penance for the decades of ill will I have wished upon the Irish. Although they couldn’t overcome a better team last week with Miami, everything is bigger when it involves Texas, even A&M. Look for an overcompensation level cover this week in South Bend.

Prediction 3: While #18 South Florida enjoys a ranking thanks to upsetting Florida last week, I maintain that the swamp isn’t what it used to be. #5 Miami looks to be a contender in the playoff hunt early in the season and that will continue here. It’s a high number to cover at -17.5, but that’s exactly what the U should do here, preferably in orange.

For your fair and balanced homer pick of the week, I will stay in Columbus. The Buckeyes, energized by our own Zach in the shoe, will easily cover against Ohio (-31.5). Bonus bet of the week is the Toledo Rockets (-8) to cover against Morgan State, driving them one week closer to the Pemberville exit game in October. This week we’re covered in picks like Oasis fans with floor tickets were covered in beer last weekend at the Rose Bowl. While you won’t have that much fun, enjoy the tailgate this weekend wherever you are.

Summary:

Georgia covers -3.5

Notre Dame covers -6.5

Miami covers -17.5

Ohio State covers -31.5

Toledo covers -8

Record: 5-2